Update for Super Typhoon Rolly (Goni)
as of 8 AM, November 1, 2020
issued by DOST PAGASA
THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON “ROLLY” MAKES A SECOND LANDFALL OVER TIWI, ALBAY.
#NuevaEcija is still under TCWS#2
Catastrophic violent winds and intense to torrential rainfall associated with the region of the eyewall and inner rainbands of the typhoon is prevailing or expected within the next 12 hours over Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, the northern portion of Sorsogon, Burias Island, Marinduque, the central and southern portions of Quezon, Laguna, and the eastern portion of Batangas. This a particularly dangerous situation for these areas.
Track and intensity outlook:
The center of the eye of Typhoon “ROLLY” made its second landfall in the vicinity of Tiwi, Albay (13.47°N, 124.68°E) at 7:20 AM this morning.
The center of this typhoon will cross the Camarines Provinces before heading towards Marinduque-Southern Quezon area this afternoon.
“ROLLY” is forecast to exit the mainland Luzon landmass and emerge over the West Philippine Sea between tonight and tomorrow early morning.
During its traverse of Southern Luzon, “ROLLY” is forecast to weaken but will emerge as a typhoon over the West Philippine Sea.
Location of eye/center At 7:20 AM today, the center of the eye of Super Typhoon “ROLLY” was located based on all available data including those from Daet Doppler Weather Radar in the vicinity of Tiwi, Albay (13.5°N, 123.7°E).
Strength: With maximum sustained winds of 225 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 310 km/h.
Movement Moving Westward at 25 km/h.
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 150 km West of Subic Bay (14.7°N, 118.9°E)
• 48 Hour (Tuesday morning):625 km West of Subic Bay (OUTSIDE PAR) (15.0°N, 114.5°E)
• 72 Hour (Wednesday morning): 970 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (14.5°N, 111.3°E)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
(More than 220 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 12 hours)
Albay and Camarines Sur
(171-220 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 12 hours)
Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, the northern portion of
Sorsogon (Donsol, Pilar, Castilla, Sorsogon City, Prieto Diaz, Gubat, Barcelona, Juban, Casiguran, Magallanes), Burias Island, the central and southern portions of Quezon (Real, Mauban, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Calauag, Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, San Antonio, Tiaong, Dolores, Candelaria, Sariaya, Tayabas City, Sampaloc, Lucban, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Unisan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Lopez, Buenavista, San Narciso, San Andres, San Francisco, Mulanay, Catanauan, General Luna, Macalelon, Pitogo), the central and southern portions of Rizal (Tanay, Antipolo City, San Mateo, Cainta, Taytay, Binangonan, Teresa, Morong, Cardona, Baras, Jala-Jala, Pililla, Angono), Batangas, Cavite, Metro Manila, Laguna, Marinduque, the northern portion of Romblon (Concepcion, Corcuera, Banton), the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog), and the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan, Pola, Victoria, Socorro, Pinamalayan)
(121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
The rest of Sorsogon, the northern portion of Masbate (Mobo, Masbate City, Milagros, Uson, Baleno, Aroroy, Mandaon) including Ticao Island, the rest of Quezon including Polillo Island, the rest of Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, the southern portion of Zambales (San Marcelino, San Felipe, Olongapo City, Subic, Castillejos, San Antonio, San Narciso, Botolan, Cabangan), the central portion of Romblon (Calatrava, San Andres, San Agustin, Romblon, Magdiwang, San Fernando, Cajidiocan), the central portion of Occidental Mindoro (Sablayan, Mamburao, Santa Cruz, Paluan) including Lubang Island, and the central portion of Oriental Mindoro (Gloria, Bansud, Bongabong) Northern Samar
(61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Benguet, La Union, Pangasinan, the rest of Zambales, Tarlac, #NuevaEcija, the rest of Oriental Mindoro, the rest of Occidental Mindoro, the rest of Romblon, and the rest of Masbate The northern portion of Samar (Catbalogan City, Jiabong, Motiong, Paranas, Hinabangan, San Sebastian, Tarangnan, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao, Gandara, Santa Margarita, Calbayog City, Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An), the northern portion of Eastern Samar (San Julian, Sulat, Taft, Can-Avid, Dolores, Maslog, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad), the extreme northern portion of Antique (Pandan, Libertad, Caluya), and the northwestern portion of Aklan (Buruanga, Malay, Nabas, Ibajay)
(30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Abra, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and Calamian Islands The rest of the northern portion of Antique (Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao, Barbaza, Laua-An), the rest of Aklan, Capiz, the northern portion of Iloilo (Lemery, Sara, Concepcion, San Dionisio, Batad, Estancia, Balasan, Carles), the northern portion of Cebu (San Remigio, Bogo City, Medellin, Daanbantayan) including Bantayan Islands, Biliran, the rest of Samar, the rest of Eastern Samar, and the northern portion of Leyte (San Isidro, Tabango, Villaba, Matag-Ob, Palompon, Ormoc City, Pastrana, Palo, Calubian, Leyte, Kananga, Capoocan, Carigara, Jaro, Tunga, Barugo, Alangalang, Santa Fe, Tacloban City, Babatngon, San Miguel)
Other tropical systems being monitored:
At 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “ATSANI” was estimated at 1,205 km East of Southern Luzon (15.0°N, 135.3°E).
It currently has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.
It is moving west-northwestward at 30 km/h and is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility this morning.
Once inside the PAR, “ATSANI” will be given the domestic name “SIONY”.
It remains less likely to affect any portion of the country over the next 2 to 3 days.
It is likely to intensify into a severe tropical storm in the next 24 to 36 hours.